Tobacco Board Slashes Andhra Pradesh Crop Size by 43% as Global Glut Bites; Farmers Seek Alternative Crops
The Tobacco Board has cut FCV crop sizes by 43–44% for Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka for 2026-27, citing a market glut and rising competition from Brazil and Africa, leaving farmers to grapple with unchanged production costs and no clear alt
The short answer
India's Tobacco Board has slashed the FCV tobacco crop size for Andhra Pradesh from 142 million kg to 81 million kg — a 43% reduction — for the 2026-27 season, with Karnataka facing a near-identical 44% cut. A severe market glut, compounded by surging competition from Brazil and African producers, has driven the unprecedented move. While farmers largely accept the Board's reasoning, they are now pressing the state government and the Board for alternative crop strategies and stricter enforcement against unlicensed growers who are already distorting market prices.
The overhang
A Glut Years in the Making Forces the Board's Hand
India's Tobacco Board — which functions under the Union Commerce Ministry and is mandated to regulate the production and curing of flue-cured Virginia (FCV) tobacco — has delivered its starkest market intervention in recent memory. For the 2026-27 season, the Board has set the crop size for Andhra Pradesh at 81 million kg (mkg), down sharply from 142 mkg the previous year — a reduction of 43%. Karnataka faces an almost identical correction, with its quota cut from 100 mkg to 51 mkg, a 44% pruning.
The trigger is a combination of forces that have been building for years: a sizeable domestic market glut, a sustained surge in competition from Brazil and African tobacco-growing nations, and a persistent pattern of licensed growers exceeding their sanctioned crop limits. Together, these pressures have eroded demand and undermined the Board's price-stabilisation mandate, forcing a correction that was, by most accounts, overdue.
On the ground
Fixed Costs, Shrinking Output — Farmers Count the Cost
The practical impact for cultivators is stark. Under the revised norms, each barn — which covers roughly four acres — will be permitted to produce 2,000 kg of tobacco in 2026-27, compared with 3,600 kg per barn previously. Critically, the cost of constructing, maintaining, and operating a curing barn does not fall in proportion to the output cut, leaving farmers with unchanged overheads against significantly lower permitted revenues.
Nevertheless, growers are largely avoiding open protest. PS Murali Babu, President and former General Secretary of the Federation of All India Farmer Associations (FAIFA), acknowledged the Board's rationale: farmers are aware of the glut and broadly accept that the reduction was necessary. Their frustration, instead, is directed at the absence of a government-backed plan to help them transition to alternative crops during the reduced-quota years — a gap they are now actively pressing the state to fill.
We understand the rationale. We are aware that there is a glut. We want the Government to come out with a strategy to help farmers identify alternative crops.
The illegal trade
Unlicensed Growers Deepen Market Distortion
Licensed farmers have a second, more immediate grievance: unlicensed growers who continue to sell tobacco outside the regulated auction system, undercutting official prices and diluting the Board's supply-management efforts.
Vivekananda, a tobacco farmer from Eluru district, told The Hindu BusinessLine that illegal producers bring approximately 2 million kg of tobacco to market at around ₹230 per kg, disrupting price discovery for licensed growers who face penalties for their own over-production. He called on the Board and the state government to step up enforcement, including confiscation of illegally grown produce.
Vivekananda also proposed a constructive use of confiscated stock: sell it through official channels and route a meaningful portion of the proceeds to the Tobacco Growers' Welfare Fund, thereby turning an enforcement action into a grower-support measure. The suggestion reflects a broader desire among farmers for the regulatory apparatus to work in their favour, not merely against them.
Policy response
Naidu Asks Officials to Chart Short-, Medium- and Long-Term Strategies
The political response has moved quickly. Andhra Pradesh Chief Minister N Chandrababu Naidu has asked state officials to prepare a layered strategy — covering short-, medium-, and long-term horizons — to address the challenges bearing down on tobacco farmers in the state.
Among the options under consideration is whether a storage facility could be developed to allow farmers to hold their produce and wait for more favourable price windows, rather than being forced to sell at depressed auction prices in a glutted market.
FAIFA's Murali Babu echoed the demand for a concrete alternative-crops plan, stressing that farmers need practical, state-backed guidance on what to grow on land that will be underutilised under the new quota regime. Without such a roadmap, the crop-size reduction risks transferring financial stress from the tobacco market onto individual farm households — a humanitarian and political problem the state cannot afford to ignore.
Why it matters
A 43–44% crop-size cut is one of the sharpest regulatory interventions in Indian tobacco in recent memory, and it signals structural stress — not a seasonal blip — in the FCV segment. For farmers already locked into barn infrastructure with fixed costs, the squeeze on permitted output to 2,000 kg per barn threatens viability unless the state quickly delivers credible alternative-crop plans. Chief Minister Chandrababu Naidu's directive to prepare short-, medium- and long-term strategies, including storage options, is a step forward, but the absence of concrete alternatives and the continuing menace of unlicensed growers selling at ₹230 per kg mean the sector's transition will be far from smooth. Traders and agri-businesses in Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka should watch the 2026-27 auction season closely for further price disruption.
Frequently asked
- By how much has the Tobacco Board reduced Andhra Pradesh's FCV crop size for 2026-27?
- The Board has cut Andhra Pradesh's crop size by 43%, from 142 million kg to 81 million kg for the 2026-27 season.
- Why did the Tobacco Board make such a steep cut to crop quotas?
- The Board cited a major market glut in FCV tobacco, sharp competition from Brazil and African producing countries, and the fact that licensed growers had consistently exceeded their sanctioned crop limits, all of which depressed domestic demand and prices.
- What is the practical impact on individual tobacco farmers?
- Each barn, covering roughly four acres, will now be permitted to produce only 2,000 kg of tobacco in 2026-27, compared with 3,600 kg previously, while the cost of maintaining the barn remains unchanged.
- What action is the Andhra Pradesh government taking in response?
- Chief Minister N Chandrababu Naidu has directed officials to prepare short-, medium-, and long-term strategies for tobacco farmers, including exploring whether storage facilities could allow growers to hold produce and sell at a more opportune time.
Source
This report summarises and analyses coverage from The Hindu BusinessLine — Agri Business. The analysis and India context are IndianAgri's own.